blue, obama state. pinkish is lean romney, light blue is lean obama. yellow states are tossup states within the margin of error. this is based on polls from the last 30 days. this particular map has polls in the last 30 days. karl, what has changed since we last talked? >> first, we had to wrap the polls last week. largest polls in one week. 41 polls in 20 states. immediate aftermath at the democratic convention. they should reflect the democrat bounce and they do. for the first time we had a week the obama changes in status were bigger than the changes in status benefiting romney. two states moved from lean obama to obama. minnesota and pennsylvania. one state moved from tossup, michigan, to lean obama. and that was offset by one state, kentucky, which may have moved from lean romney to romney. so we're basically a slight shift toward obama. mostly in the upper midwest. 241 electoral college votes between obama and lean obama states to 191 for romney, between the romney and lean romney states. and eight tossup states with 106 electoral college votes.